Samvega · the record
Every state. Every weather. Counted, never chosen.
Each time a coin entered a state, we looked again 6 hours later. Every sealed hour since 30 September, split by the weather the market was in, and set against an ordinary coin in the same weather.
42days of sealed hours
3,476times a coin entered a state
31,094coin-hours for the yardstick
4kinds of weather
The yardstick. Every coin, every hour, whatever its state: how often it was higher or lower 6 hours later, in each weather. A state only counts when it beats this.
Fair43% higher · 57% lower
Fear42% higher · 58% lower
Storm51% higher · 49% lower
Panic58% higher · 42% lower
State
Fair
Fear
Storm
Panic
Rising
EMERGINGhigher 6 hours later
38%−5 · of 183
41%−1 · of 202
40%−11 · of 94
54%−4 · of 163
ACCELERATINGhigher 6 hours later
42%−1 · of 129
41%−1 · of 140
47%−4 · of 43
36%−22 · of 67
STRONGhigher 6 hours later
37%−6 · of 115
46%+4 · of 150
56%+5 · of 50
42%−16 · of 102
Falling
WEAKENINGlower 6 hours later
80%+23 · of 20
48%−10 · of 268
44%−5 · of 63
34%−8 · of 73
CAPITULATINGlower 6 hours later
91%+34 · of 11
59%+1 · of 111
36%−13 · of 44
38%−4 · of 16
FALLINGlower 6 hours later
55%−2 · of 11
63%+5 · of 151
40%−9 · of 40
35%−7 · of 26
After a fall
FALL_SLOWINGno lower 6 hours later
35%−8 · of 37
42%±0 · of 515
55%+4 · of 107
62%+4 · of 108
STABILIZINGno lower 6 hours later
48%+5 · of 21
40%−2 · of 263
59%+8 · of 75
54%−4 · of 74
The yardstickan ordinary coin, 6 hours later
43%higher · lower 57%
42%higher · lower 58%
51%higher · lower 49%
58%higher · lower 42%
beat an ordinary coin (points ahead)did worseunder 20 times: early
Sealed hours 30 Sept, 14:00 – 11 Nov, 07:00 UTC · each written into a public blockchain · checkable by anyoneSAMVEGA
How to read a cell, the states and the weather: How to read this → · Where the counts meet today's market: the record on the homepage →